Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000998 0.001140 0.001281 0.001434 0.001593 0.001753 0.001926
2025-12-21 0.000805 0.001010 0.001223 0.001458 0.001708 0.001964 0.002247
2025-12-28 0.000611 0.000859 0.001124 0.001424 0.001751 0.002091 0.002471
2026-01-04 0.000477 0.000756 0.001066 0.001426 0.001824 0.002245 0.002719
2026-01-11 0.000356 0.000654 0.001000 0.001411 0.001873 0.002367 0.002929
2026-01-18 0.000259 0.000568 0.000943 0.001400 0.001921 0.002485 0.003130
2026-01-25 0.000156 0.000457 0.000847 0.001336 0.001905 0.002527 0.003245
2026-02-01 0.000091 0.000383 0.000788 0.001311 0.001928 0.002610 0.003402
2026-02-08 0.000050 0.000333 0.000755 0.001313 0.001980 0.002722 0.003588
2026-02-15 0.000023 0.000295 0.000734 0.001327 0.002043 0.002845 0.003784
2026-02-22 0.000007 0.000267 0.000723 0.001352 0.002118 0.002979 0.003991
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000224 0.000687 0.001342 0.002149 0.003062 0.004140
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000160 0.000622 0.001308 0.002169 0.003153 0.004322
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000128 0.000605 0.001335 0.002264 0.003332 0.004605
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000080 0.000547 0.001305 0.002288 0.003429 0.004796
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000051 0.000515 0.001309 0.002352 0.003572 0.005039
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000024 0.000474 0.001295 0.002394 0.003686 0.005248
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000006 0.000437 0.001285 0.002437 0.003802 0.005458
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000369 0.001224 0.002413 0.003837 0.005573
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000329 0.001200 0.002434 0.003923 0.005746
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000307 0.001203 0.002489 0.004047 0.005961
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000292 0.001216 0.002556 0.004187 0.006193
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000285 0.001240 0.002637 0.004341 0.006442